Analysts said if China’s intention to build
artificial islands illegally on Scarborough Shoal would threaten the confidence that China
has just established with Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte after a turbulent period since
2012. By the middle of 2016. Chinese media quoted the so-called “Chinese
city of Sansha” as saying last week that Chinese authorities would begin preparations to set
up an environmental monitoring station at Scarborough Shoal, Philipplines 230 km. Euan Graham, director of international security
at the Lowy Institute for International Policy in Sydney, Australia, said: “If blatant China
starts to build up, I think it will be very difficult for Mr Duterte. I think the public
will start turning in the Philippines. ” Mr. Duterte on March 21 acknowledged through
the website of the presidential office that he “could not stop China” at Scarborough Shoal.
Referring to the fact that the Philippine military is relatively weak, he said: “We
all will lose the army and the police tomorrow, and we are a defeated country.” However, later, the Philippine Ministry of
Justice said it would oppose China’s intentions regarding the construction of the Scarborough
Shoal. Carl Baker, director of programs at the CSIS
Pacific Forum consultancy in Honolulu, said: “It seems that critics are increasingly pressing
for Duterte to respond strongly to China.” . Some analysts say China’s green light on the
project, or the wave of protests against Duterte in the Philippines, could prompt the country
to seek help from the United States, a long-standing military ally of the United States. Philippines. Duterte’s predecessor, Benigno Aquino, relied
on the United States for military assistance, including joint maritime patrols after 2014.
Duterte, who blamed anti-US influence in the Philippines, canceled. Those patrols, but
he has been in concert with President Donald Trump since Trump took office. US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said before
he was officially ratified that China should be prevented from approaching illegally constructed
artificial islands in the East China Sea.